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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+4.64vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.03+1.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+3.32vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.09-1.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+1.54vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.40+4.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.40+0.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-1.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.08-3.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15-0.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.43-3.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.72-1.74vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.23-3.98vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.40-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.2%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.2%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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4.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.2%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.400.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Berkeley-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.74University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.26University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Davis-1.230.0%1st Place
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13.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Coumes | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 16.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Magnussen | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 15.9% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Susank | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ry Ulmer-Strack | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Kara | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Susank | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.