← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+3.26vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+5.51vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+1.09vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+0.84vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+4.08vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.40+4.46vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.09-1.61vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii1.03-2.53vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-0.37vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.34vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.40+2.41vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine0.08-3.40vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15-0.26vs Predicted
-
14University of Oregon-1.72+0.26vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-3.83vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.40-2.59vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-1.23-4.01vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-0.43-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.2%1st Place
-
7.51University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
-
4.09California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.2%1st Place
-
4.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
-
9.08University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of California at Berkeley-0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.39University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
-
5.47University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
-
8.63University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
9.66University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
-
13.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.400.0%1st Place
-
8.6University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
12.74University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
-
14.26University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
-
11.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
-
13.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.400.0%1st Place
-
12.99University of California at Davis-1.230.0%1st Place
-
10.45University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remy Margerum | 17.9% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 18.5% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| William Brown | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Magnussen | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Susank | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ry Ulmer-Strack | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Susank | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Juan Kara | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.