← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
6.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon-1.72+12.55vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+8.77vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+6.51vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15+8.33vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis-0.43+5.15vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis-1.23+6.55vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-0.40+3.12vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine0.08+0.32vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.09-3.69vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-5.96vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-2.05vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-3.59vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-5.61vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii1.03-8.60vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-10.58vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-11.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
13.55University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
-
10.77University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
-
9.51University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
-
12.33University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.15University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.55University of California at Davis-1.230.0%1st Place
-
10.12University of California at Berkeley-0.400.0%1st Place
-
8.32University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.31University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
-
4.04California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.2%1st Place
-
8.95University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.1%1st Place
-
8.41University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
7.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
-
5.4University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
-
4.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.2%1st Place
-
4.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Albertine | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 18.9% | 38.3% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
| John Beutter | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Ry Ulmer-Strack | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| Alana McSween | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Juan Kara | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 21.6% |
| William Brown | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| James Heller | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Eric Witte | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 18.3% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Hayden Christensen | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Ryder | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Magnussen | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 15.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.