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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.40+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.34+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.01-0.96vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University1.14-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.40-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Wisconsin3.040.5%1st Place
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3.87University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Minnesota2.010.2%1st Place
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4.35Ohio State University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 48.4% | 27.8% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 8.8% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 19.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 21.6% | 20.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 17.5% | 22.0% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 5.3% |
| Devin Copfer | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 33.4% |
| Lane Tobin | 9.0% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.