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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.90+8.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+6.66vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+7.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.72+6.95vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+1.81vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.79+3.58vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+1.85vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.79-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+0.22vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-3.10vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-4.18vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.00-3.12vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-5.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-7.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.85Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.01Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.88Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethany Leonard | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% |
| Meghan Pesch | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 13.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Haley Powell | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.