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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.89vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University1.14+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.34+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.01-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.40-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.40-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Wisconsin3.040.5%1st Place
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4.2Ohio State University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Wisconsin1.340.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Minnesota2.010.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Wisconsin1.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 48.3% | 28.6% | 13.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Devin Copfer | 6.7% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 29.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 20.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 17.8% | 21.3% | 23.0% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Lane Tobin | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 21.9% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 9.1% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.