← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.07+2.90vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.03+4.58vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+0.13vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.39vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+2.51vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.87+5.43vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-0.41+3.19vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+0.06vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-0.86+2.32vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-1.53+3.25vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-1.43+2.41vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-1.00-0.56vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.80-2.39vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-1.19-2.07vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-1.18-3.06vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.62vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands-1.54-3.02vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-3.24vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-2.21-2.95vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-1.92-5.12vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis-2.46-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.9University of Washington1.0719.1%1st Place
-
6.58University of California at San Diego0.037.6%1st Place
-
3.13University of California at Santa Cruz1.4525.8%1st Place
-
5.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.869.8%1st Place
-
7.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.246.0%1st Place
-
11.43University of California at San Diego-0.872.5%1st Place
-
10.19Arizona State University-0.413.5%1st Place
-
8.06University of California at Los Angeles-0.344.9%1st Place
-
11.32San Diego State University-0.861.9%1st Place
-
13.25University of California at San Diego-1.531.7%1st Place
-
13.41University of California at Irvine-1.431.5%1st Place
-
11.44University of California at San Diego-1.002.6%1st Place
-
10.61University of California at Irvine-0.802.9%1st Place
-
11.93San Diego State University-1.192.1%1st Place
-
11.94San Diego State University-1.182.1%1st Place
-
14.38California State University Channel Islands-1.811.1%1st Place
-
13.98California State University Channel Islands-1.541.1%1st Place
-
14.76University of California at Los Angeles-1.851.3%1st Place
-
16.05Arizona State University-2.210.9%1st Place
-
14.88Arizona State University-1.921.2%1st Place
-
16.86University of California at Davis-2.460.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 19.1% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 25.8% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| JP Finnegan | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Brent Lin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Luke Graham | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 19.1% |
| Viviane Carroll | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.