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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+5.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+4.52vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.86+6.34vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.79+4.75vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.00+2.75vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+2.64vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+1.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-2.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.59vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-3.72vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-4.10vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.72-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-6.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-7.44vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.90-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.75Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.64Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.28Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.55University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.