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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+8.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+5.20vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+9.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+5.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+1.86vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.27+2.60vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.44+0.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-2.47vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-0.48vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-1.81vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.80-2.68vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.27-5.64vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.25-6.37vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.80-1.82vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-5.87vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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12.16Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.36Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.63Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.18Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 7.9% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Ford | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| John Cappetta | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 23.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| George Luber | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.