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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+6.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+6.82vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44+5.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.96+2.88vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80+2.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.27-1.14vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.68+0.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-2.16vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.65-6.04vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-2.45vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.96-5.21vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.80-1.84vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-6.42vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.58Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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11.1Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.79Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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14.16Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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15.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Booker | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| John Cappetta | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 23.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| George Luber | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.