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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+8.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.58vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.96+7.09vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+2.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+3.50vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44+1.93vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+3.48vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45+3.83vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-1.28vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.96+0.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-4.26vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.65-4.55vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.80+0.92vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-3.28vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.80-4.58vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.25-7.25vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.27-8.29vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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11.83Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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13.92Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.72Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.75Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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15.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Ford | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| John Cappetta | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 20.8% | 23.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Michael Booker | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| George Luber | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.