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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.03+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.87+6.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.00+5.17vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.41+3.31vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.21+8.02vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.54+4.74vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.43+3.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-3.57vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.86-0.93vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.81+1.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-6.06vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.18-3.14vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.80-5.28vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.92-1.80vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.53-4.61vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-4.29vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.46-3.12vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.19-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of Washington1.0718.8%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.8611.3%1st Place
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3.01University of California at Santa Cruz1.4528.7%1st Place
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6.79University of California at San Diego0.038.2%1st Place
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11.46University of California at San Diego-0.872.2%1st Place
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11.17University of California at San Diego-1.001.8%1st Place
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10.31Arizona State University-0.412.5%1st Place
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16.02Arizona State University-2.210.5%1st Place
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13.74California State University Channel Islands-1.541.4%1st Place
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13.21University of California at Irvine-1.431.5%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.7%1st Place
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11.07San Diego State University-0.862.8%1st Place
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14.66California State University Channel Islands-1.810.9%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.344.2%1st Place
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11.86San Diego State University-1.181.4%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Irvine-0.802.4%1st Place
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15.2Arizona State University-1.921.4%1st Place
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13.39University of California at San Diego-1.531.5%1st Place
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14.71University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.7%1st Place
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16.88University of California at Davis-2.460.4%1st Place
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12.11San Diego State University-1.191.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 18.8% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 28.7% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 19.9% |
| Brent Lin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Viviane Carroll | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Luke Graham | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 28.2% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.