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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+6.10vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+5.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.47vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65+2.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44+1.92vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77-0.39vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.96+1.74vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05-0.27vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.80+3.18vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.25-3.00vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-1.26vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.80-3.78vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-4.05vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.27-7.39vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.21vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.84Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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14.18Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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9.0Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.74Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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15.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| John Cappetta | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 24.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Michael Booker | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| George Luber | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 52.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.