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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+6.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.44vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+7.55vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.44+3.67vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.80+8.81vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68+4.89vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+1.51vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80+2.28vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.96+0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05-0.38vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-4.39vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-1.99vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-1.47vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.48-6.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.55vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-9.22vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.27-8.46vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.56-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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13.81Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.51Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.28Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.71Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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15.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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11.11Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.3% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Colin MURPHY | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| John Cappetta | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 22.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Mollerus | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| John Silvestri | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| George Luber | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 17.7% | 46.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Harding | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.