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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.41+9.40vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.45-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.87+6.39vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.19+6.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.80+3.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.03-1.40vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.86+2.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-2.32vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.54+2.89vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.91-0.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.43+0.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.00-2.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-7.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-1.33vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.53-3.51vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.46-0.93vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.25vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.92-4.93vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.21-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.4Arizona State University-0.413.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Washington1.0717.8%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.8611.5%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Cruz1.4525.9%1st Place
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11.39University of California at San Diego-0.872.0%1st Place
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12.22San Diego State University-1.191.9%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Irvine-0.803.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at San Diego0.038.0%1st Place
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11.1San Diego State University-0.862.9%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.246.0%1st Place
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13.89California State University Channel Islands-1.541.4%1st Place
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11.01San Diego State University-0.912.1%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Irvine-1.431.9%1st Place
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11.25University of California at San Diego-1.002.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles-0.344.6%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.851.1%1st Place
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13.49University of California at San Diego-1.531.9%1st Place
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17.07University of California at Davis-2.460.5%1st Place
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14.75California State University Channel Islands-1.810.6%1st Place
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15.07Arizona State University-1.920.9%1st Place
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16.17Arizona State University-2.210.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 17.8% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 25.9% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| JP Finnegan | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Graham | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 27.3% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.