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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+6.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.90+7.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.30vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.34+7.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+1.25vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+0.20vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+1.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.81vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95-0.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.34vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.85-1.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.13vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.94-4.24vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.81-4.87vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.94-6.19vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.39-4.72vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.65-2.93vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.58-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.27Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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13.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.47Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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11.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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14.07Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 21.2% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| John Wehner | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 31.4% |
| Alexander Giordano | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.