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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.85+8.53vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+4.41vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.90+6.26vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.94+4.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+1.83vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81+1.37vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-0.14vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-3.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.58-0.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.36vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-4.13vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.34-2.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.56vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-1.91vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.39-5.68vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-11.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.86Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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6.43Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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13.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.11Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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14.09Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Dumke | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Charles Welsh | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Giordano | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 23.2% |
| William Hawk | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 30.4% |
| John Wehner | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.