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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+5.47vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.94+7.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+4.13vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.58+6.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.82vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+0.24vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.85+2.31vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.34+3.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-1.98vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.81-0.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+2.22vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-2.68vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-4.31vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.39-3.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.55vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-1.94vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.90-7.77vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.94-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.3Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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11.39Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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13.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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14.06Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Giordano | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 21.2% |
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| John Wehner | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 29.5% |
| William Crary | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.