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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+8.10vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+11.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+8.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+4.75vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.58+5.33vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+3.00vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61-0.80vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.39+3.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41-2.10vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-3.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.81-1.47vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.94-2.73vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.85-3.90vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.34-2.90vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-7.96vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-6.81vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.94-8.01vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.65-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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13.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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11.1Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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13.81Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 21.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Giordano | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| William Hawk | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.