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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.94+8.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+5.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+3.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+3.76vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+0.19vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+1.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.85+1.17vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.58+1.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94-0.84vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.34+0.52vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-6.03vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-5.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.54vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.39-4.70vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.65-2.91vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.81-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.52Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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13.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.3Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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14.09Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.3Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Giordano | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 21.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% |
| John Wehner | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 16.4% | 30.9% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.