Race 2B

mrs-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jennifer Proctor 10.3% 10.0% 11.2% 8.4% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 7.7% 7.5% 6.3% 6.0% 2.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Marlena Fauer 14.3% 15.4% 13.8% 11.7% 9.2% 11.0% 5.8% 6.5% 4.3% 3.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Morgan Russom 5.8% 5.8% 7.1% 6.5% 7.4% 6.9% 6.5% 9.3% 9.5% 8.9% 10.6% 7.8% 5.1% 2.6% 0.2%
Jennifer Adler 11.6% 13.3% 10.6% 10.8% 9.9% 8.7% 7.2% 9.4% 7.0% 4.8% 3.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.9% 8.8% 7.0% 8.2% 8.1% 7.6% 10.4% 9.4% 8.5% 8.1% 5.5% 5.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Amy Baxter 3.2% 5.2% 4.0% 5.0% 4.4% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 10.0% 9.5% 10.7% 11.7% 9.5% 6.0% 1.0%
Natalie Salk 11.8% 9.8% 10.5% 10.6% 9.8% 10.7% 10.2% 7.5% 5.4% 4.6% 4.0% 2.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Stephanie Hudson 12.0% 10.4% 11.9% 10.1% 9.1% 9.2% 8.2% 8.1% 7.0% 5.7% 4.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Killian Corbishley 5.0% 3.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.7% 6.5% 9.9% 7.5% 8.1% 11.2% 8.6% 9.2% 6.5% 2.2% 1.3%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.0% 7.7% 11.9% 26.0% 30.6%
Laura Cuccio 3.1% 1.9% 2.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 5.2% 5.1% 7.7% 6.5% 11.7% 11.4% 16.3% 11.5% 5.1%
Nancy Hagood 7.7% 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 10.3% 8.3% 7.8% 9.1% 7.9% 8.5% 6.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Paige Fagan 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 3.0% 2.8% 3.8% 6.1% 9.8% 20.4% 46.2%
Emma Kofmehl 3.5% 3.9% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 6.5% 6.5% 6.1% 7.5% 8.9% 8.8% 14.4% 11.2% 7.1% 2.5%
Hillary Paulsen 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.5% 5.9% 8.1% 10.3% 17.4% 20.7% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.