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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.11vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.41+8.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.03+1.78vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.86+5.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.87+4.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-0.54vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.54+5.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.80+0.64vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.19+1.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-4.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.00-1.59vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.43-0.69vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.35vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.53-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-2.22vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.21-1.97vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.46-2.06vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.91-9.07vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.92-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of California at Santa Cruz1.4528.1%1st Place
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10.2Arizona State University-0.412.3%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.8610.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Washington1.0718.3%1st Place
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6.78University of California at San Diego0.037.5%1st Place
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11.39San Diego State University-0.862.2%1st Place
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11.32University of California at San Diego-0.872.5%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.8%1st Place
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14.25California State University Channel Islands-1.540.9%1st Place
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10.64University of California at Irvine-0.802.9%1st Place
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12.11San Diego State University-1.192.1%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.345.2%1st Place
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11.41University of California at San Diego-1.002.1%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Irvine-1.431.5%1st Place
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14.65California State University Channel Islands-1.810.5%1st Place
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13.25University of California at San Diego-1.531.5%1st Place
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14.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.851.1%1st Place
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16.03Arizona State University-2.210.8%1st Place
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16.94University of California at Davis-2.460.5%1st Place
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10.93San Diego State University-0.912.9%1st Place
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14.95Arizona State University-1.921.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 28.1% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 18.3% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Rigel Mummers | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| JP Finnegan | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Luke Graham | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 18.6% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 28.6% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Viviane Carroll | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.