← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.61+5.43vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.94+7.12vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+6.21vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.92+4.87vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.95+3.79vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.81+3.46vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.41-0.02vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.40vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.38-1.95vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.85-0.50vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.60-4.66vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.34-0.23vs Predicted
-
13Bates College1.65+0.76vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.90-5.24vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.94-6.20vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.58-5.49vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.39-5.67vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.43Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
9.12Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
-
9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.87Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.79University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
9.46Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.98Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
11.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
7.05Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.5Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
6.34Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
11.77Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
-
13.76Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
-
8.76University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.8Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
-
10.51Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.33Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
-
12.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| William Hawk | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Champa | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 28.9% |
| William Crary | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Giordano | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| John Wehner | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.