← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.38+6.37vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.61+4.31vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+6.14vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.36vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.41+1.90vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.85+3.29vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.95+1.82vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.60-1.82vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.90+0.05vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.34+1.72vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.58-0.42vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.94-2.78vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.92-4.16vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.81-4.86vs Predicted
-
15Bates College1.65-1.07vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.39-4.74vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.77vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.94-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.37Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.31Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
6.9Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
9.29Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
8.82University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
6.18Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.05University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
11.72Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.58Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.22Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.84Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.14Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
-
13.93Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.26Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
-
13.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
8.66Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Alexander Giordano | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| William Hawk | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 27.9% |
| John Wehner | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 22.3% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.