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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.90+8.26vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.95+7.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+6.52vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+4.88vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94+3.81vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39+5.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.46vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-1.85vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-0.14vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.36vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-4.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.41-4.70vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-6.00vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.81-4.88vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.58-4.61vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-7.00vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.34-5.46vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.65-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.52Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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13.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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11.54Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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13.82Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| William Hawk | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| John Wehner | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 22.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Giordano | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.