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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+6.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.37vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.62vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.19+5.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.11vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18-0.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.57+1.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.61+3.92vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.49-0.18vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.71-2.13vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21-0.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-7.94vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.67-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.72-2.55vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-0.75vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.74-1.59vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.82-9.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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4.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University2.570.0%1st Place
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12.92Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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11.08Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.06Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.62Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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15.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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15.41Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Storck | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 8.2% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Walter Florio | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 35.2% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 19.6% | 39.8% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.