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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+6.10vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+5.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.19+8.00vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+3.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.15vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.03+0.49vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.57+1.19vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.67-0.16vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71-1.01vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.49-1.26vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.71-6.60vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-2.48vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.82-5.95vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.72-2.50vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.61-3.07vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-1.71vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.74-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.05Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.49Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.84Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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5.4Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.52Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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15.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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15.23Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Storck | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| James Barry | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Walter Florio | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 8.5% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 36.9% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.