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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+7.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+7.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.85vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49+4.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.19vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.19+2.60vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.61+3.89vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-2.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.71-5.76vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21-0.97vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.03-5.59vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.57-5.04vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-6.32vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.72-3.42vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-1.67vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.74-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.12Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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9.54Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.03Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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15.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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15.25Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 17.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 8.0% |
| Ian Storck | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 14.0% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| James Barry | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Rolfe Glover | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Walter Florio | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 21.4% | 37.2% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 22.9% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.