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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+6.23vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+2.85vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+3.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+2.98vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49+4.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39+3.65vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21+3.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.34+1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.19+1.38vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-1.84vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-4.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.57-2.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.45vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.72-2.11vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.74+0.20vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.67-7.48vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-1.84vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.61-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.85Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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10.37Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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15.2Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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8.52Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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15.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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12.48Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 13.3% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| William Reid | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian Storck | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Rolfe Glover | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 6.6% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 36.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 35.8% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.