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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+6.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.97vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.72+9.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+6.31vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+1.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+0.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.03+0.13vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.57+0.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39+0.56vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-5.06vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.49-1.65vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-3.78vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-3.32vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-3.97vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.67-6.55vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-0.91vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.61-4.25vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.74-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.0%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University3.710.2%1st Place
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9.35Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.22Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.03Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.45Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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15.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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15.12Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Ian Storck | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| William Reid | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 16.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 34.3% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 10.0% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.2% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.