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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.49+8.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+6.06vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+3.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+1.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71-1.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67+1.52vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.61+4.50vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.19+1.39vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.34+0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.72+1.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.57-2.77vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+1.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.49vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39-5.46vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-9.64vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-6.50vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.74-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.06Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.78Roger Williams University3.710.2%1st Place
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8.52Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University2.570.0%1st Place
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14.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.5Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.1Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Capozzi | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| James Barry | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ian Storck | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 9.3% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% |
| Rolfe Glover | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 34.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| William Reid | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.