Race 3A

central-series

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Hunter Johnstone 16.3% 14.2% 13.4% 12.7% 9.5% 9.7% 7.4% 5.1% 4.9% 3.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Williford 12.7% 13.1% 12.0% 9.7% 10.7% 8.8% 8.2% 6.3% 6.4% 5.2% 2.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
John Rolander 18.0% 13.8% 13.6% 12.1% 10.4% 9.4% 8.0% 5.9% 3.1% 2.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lindsay Doyle 5.1% 7.7% 7.1% 8.8% 7.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.5% 8.4% 8.7% 7.4% 7.5% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Taylor Ladd 7.5% 7.8% 9.4% 8.8% 8.4% 9.9% 7.7% 8.9% 8.7% 7.7% 4.9% 5.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 5.6% 4.4% 7.1% 8.2% 7.7% 7.3% 8.3% 8.4% 8.4% 7.9% 9.8% 6.6% 6.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Jacob Martz 7.4% 7.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.2% 8.7% 8.2% 8.9% 8.0% 9.1% 8.5% 6.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Maddy Crowley 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 2.9% 2.6% 6.6% 9.3% 11.1% 23.1% 33.9%
Samuel Campbell 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.0% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.7% 9.3% 11.5% 11.3% 15.1% 11.5% 5.9%
MaryClaire Kiernan 9.2% 8.6% 9.1% 8.3% 11.4% 9.9% 9.8% 9.4% 7.6% 5.9% 5.0% 2.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Orgill 1.8% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4% 1.8% 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 5.3% 7.3% 8.0% 11.4% 18.9% 16.9% 11.0%
Heidi Hood 3.0% 4.0% 3.2% 3.8% 5.8% 4.9% 6.1% 5.6% 8.1% 8.0% 10.4% 9.9% 12.0% 8.5% 5.1% 1.6%
James Kennedy 4.9% 7.6% 7.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.7% 9.6% 9.6% 8.7% 7.2% 8.7% 6.3% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Matthew Miranda 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 2.2% 3.1% 3.9% 6.4% 5.9% 8.3% 9.9% 14.3% 16.2% 12.1% 7.4%
Jake Rizika 3.7% 5.0% 3.6% 5.6% 6.7% 6.8% 4.9% 7.4% 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 8.4% 6.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Brian Reilly 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 3.4% 2.5% 5.0% 6.8% 11.6% 23.8% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.