Race 5B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jennifer Proctor 10.7% 9.1% 9.5% 9.1% 9.7% 9.8% 7.5% 8.2% 8.4% 6.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Kelsey Wheeler 7.3% 9.9% 9.4% 10.1% 7.9% 8.4% 8.6% 9.7% 8.1% 7.7% 5.2% 4.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Stephanie Hudson 11.6% 11.4% 12.2% 9.0% 9.4% 9.7% 9.9% 8.2% 7.2% 4.6% 2.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 12.9% 10.1% 11.2% 9.9% 8.9% 9.9% 8.0% 7.9% 6.2% 6.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Marlena Fauer 14.3% 14.3% 10.9% 10.1% 11.6% 10.8% 7.2% 6.4% 5.2% 3.7% 2.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Adler 11.2% 11.5% 10.2% 11.7% 10.4% 10.9% 8.6% 7.2% 6.1% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Kofmehl 4.1% 4.1% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 4.2% 6.6% 7.1% 8.7% 9.3% 10.8% 12.2% 10.4% 7.5% 2.6%
Morgan Russom 5.8% 5.2% 5.8% 8.1% 7.3% 6.3% 8.5% 7.8% 8.7% 10.2% 9.0% 7.8% 6.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Killian Corbishley 4.7% 4.8% 5.8% 6.0% 7.4% 8.1% 7.6% 8.6% 8.1% 9.0% 9.9% 9.7% 6.5% 3.1% 0.7%
Paige Fagan 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 2.4% 2.5% 4.7% 6.4% 11.3% 21.1% 43.5%
Amy Baxter 4.0% 4.7% 4.2% 5.8% 4.9% 4.5% 7.1% 8.5% 8.0% 8.5% 10.7% 10.1% 9.3% 7.5% 2.2%
Nancy Hagood 8.0% 8.5% 9.8% 9.5% 8.3% 8.4% 9.2% 7.3% 9.1% 8.9% 6.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Laura Cuccio 2.5% 2.8% 2.7% 3.2% 4.2% 3.6% 3.9% 5.3% 6.4% 7.5% 9.5% 13.8% 16.3% 12.1% 6.2%
Hillary Paulsen 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 1.5% 3.0% 2.0% 3.1% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 9.4% 11.0% 16.7% 19.8% 12.2%
Alexi Schwartzkopff 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 2.2% 2.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 5.5% 8.3% 13.9% 22.8% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.