Race 11A

central-series

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Hunter Johnstone 14.0% 15.6% 14.8% 10.8% 10.2% 8.7% 8.1% 4.9% 5.3% 3.3% 2.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 8.9% 11.3% 9.1% 9.9% 8.7% 8.3% 8.0% 9.0% 6.5% 7.0% 6.1% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
John Rolander 17.1% 13.5% 13.4% 12.8% 11.0% 8.9% 8.2% 5.7% 3.6% 2.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 4.6% 6.0% 6.7% 7.6% 6.4% 6.3% 8.1% 6.2% 10.2% 10.3% 8.9% 7.6% 5.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Jacob Martz 6.9% 5.9% 7.2% 8.8% 7.2% 10.0% 7.2% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6% 8.7% 6.8% 4.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 2.6% 2.3% 2.2% 3.6% 4.8% 4.0% 5.1% 7.2% 6.9% 7.2% 8.5% 10.9% 12.8% 11.1% 8.3% 2.5%
Duncan Williford 13.4% 10.2% 11.7% 11.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.4% 8.5% 6.4% 5.4% 3.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Orgill 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 2.9% 2.5% 3.8% 5.4% 7.0% 9.3% 11.6% 18.6% 17.1% 11.0%
Lindsay Doyle 6.5% 7.7% 6.7% 6.8% 9.0% 7.9% 8.3% 9.2% 9.4% 6.7% 7.3% 6.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Taylor Ladd 8.0% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% 8.4% 9.8% 9.2% 10.6% 7.5% 7.3% 6.2% 4.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
James Kennedy 6.5% 7.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 7.9% 10.1% 7.5% 7.4% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Jake Rizika 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 5.4% 6.7% 7.4% 6.9% 7.1% 8.0% 7.7% 8.6% 9.6% 10.1% 5.8% 3.5% 0.6%
Matthew Miranda 1.5% 1.3% 1.9% 1.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 3.0% 5.2% 5.5% 7.3% 10.3% 13.7% 17.6% 14.5% 7.4%
Solomon Tarlin 3.9% 3.5% 4.1% 4.3% 5.7% 6.6% 6.1% 7.0% 7.7% 8.4% 11.3% 9.3% 9.5% 8.4% 3.4% 0.8%
Maddy Crowley 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 4.9% 8.1% 11.4% 25.3% 36.2%
Brian Reilly 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 4.3% 7.3% 12.2% 22.2% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.