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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+4.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+4.86vs Predicted
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32.75+2.34vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.87+1.08vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.41+1.42vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58-0.03vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+1.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55+0.91vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.22-2.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.71-1.34vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.83+0.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11-1.66vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.77+1.36vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.11-0.82vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.86-0.48vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.90-11.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.342.750.1%1st Place
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5.08Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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6.89Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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14.36Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.18McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
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14.52Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Erik Weis | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Morrison | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Lynn | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Manning | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 28.4% | 37.5% |
| James Paolino | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 23.3% | 23.7% | 14.9% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 28.1% | 43.4% |
| James Moody | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.