Race 2B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Janel DeCurtis 3.9% 5.8% 5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 6.5% 7.4% 6.7% 8.2% 9.9% 11.8% 8.8% 7.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Sophie Bermudez 10.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.9% 10.0% 8.5% 9.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 4.6% 3.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Lynn 6.8% 7.9% 6.5% 7.4% 8.0% 8.5% 8.6% 8.1% 11.0% 9.0% 7.1% 5.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
James Moody 13.7% 12.0% 12.3% 11.7% 9.3% 9.5% 8.1% 9.2% 5.5% 3.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Johansson 12.9% 11.8% 12.8% 11.2% 9.7% 9.4% 8.9% 6.9% 6.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Vickerson 3.3% 3.3% 4.7% 5.4% 5.6% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.2% 10.5% 10.1% 10.9% 9.5% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Joshua Morrison 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 3.8% 5.0% 5.5% 5.8% 7.8% 9.2% 12.1% 13.9% 11.1% 6.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Erik Weis 12.4% 12.0% 10.9% 10.1% 9.9% 10.4% 10.2% 6.7% 6.1% 4.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Frederick Finkenauer 2.4% 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 3.3% 3.8% 4.5% 7.1% 9.3% 9.9% 13.9% 16.7% 11.7% 4.8% 0.9%
Molly Pleskus 6.7% 7.2% 6.2% 8.1% 7.5% 7.4% 8.2% 11.9% 10.1% 8.5% 7.6% 5.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
James Paolino 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 4.5% 5.7% 11.5% 24.7% 25.3% 14.6%
Drake Lyon 11.7% 11.4% 12.1% 8.9% 10.6% 9.7% 6.4% 8.9% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
William Manning 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 4.0% 3.7% 3.6% 5.6% 5.8% 9.2% 14.2% 18.0% 16.8% 7.8% 2.0%
Claire Huebner 9.4% 7.7% 9.3% 8.7% 9.8% 8.4% 10.0% 9.3% 8.1% 6.5% 5.7% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Mara Terchunian 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.7% 6.1% 12.5% 30.0% 39.1%
Colby Jennings 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 1.2% 0.5% 1.2% 2.5% 2.9% 6.5% 13.5% 26.7% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.