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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+6.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.38+5.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+6.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10+4.39vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-0.31vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.78-0.06vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.52-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.90+0.83vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.39-1.85vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-3.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.68-1.41vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-4.46vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-4.02vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-6.23vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.53-3.07vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.85-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.18Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.39Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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4.69St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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5.94College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.77Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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15.91Cornell University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 0.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 16.5% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Burke | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Dubois | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 51.3% | 2.1% |
| Isa Betancourt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 96.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.