← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.87+3.89vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.90+2.88vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.22+3.96vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.41+2.54vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+1.95vs Predicted
-
62.75-0.54vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.86+1.13vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.74-2.76vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.71-0.48vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.58-4.08vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University0.83+0.01vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-3.04vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University-0.77+1.34vs Predicted
-
14McGill University-0.11-0.84vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.11-4.54vs Predicted
-
16Sacred Heart University-0.86-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
-
4.88Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.96Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
-
6.54Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
-
6.95Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.462.750.1%1st Place
-
8.13Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.24Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.52Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
-
5.92Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
11.01Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
14.34Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.16McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
14.57Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Johansson | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Claire Huebner | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 13.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Manning | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Morrison | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 27.1% | 38.5% |
| James Paolino | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 23.7% | 24.5% | 13.9% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 11.6% | 28.6% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.