← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
12.75+4.04vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.58+3.56vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.83+7.75vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55+4.82vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.41+1.11vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.23+0.74vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.87-2.10vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.28-1.61vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.86-1.30vs Predicted
-
10McGill University-0.11+3.02vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.69-5.66vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.11-2.03vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University-0.77+1.25vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.74-8.94vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.14-2.42vs Predicted
-
16Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.042.750.1%1st Place
-
5.56Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
10.75Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
6.11Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
-
6.74Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
4.9Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
-
6.39Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.7Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
13.02McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
-
5.34Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.97University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
14.25Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
5.06Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
12.58Boston University0.140.0%1st Place
-
13.74Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Weis | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Manning | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Morrison | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Claire Huebner | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| James Paolino | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 41.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sarkar | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 10.6% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 24.3% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.