Race 10B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Erik Weis 13.9% 11.1% 12.1% 12.1% 10.1% 8.8% 8.3% 7.6% 5.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Drake Lyon 12.9% 12.6% 11.7% 10.5% 10.4% 11.0% 8.1% 6.0% 6.0% 5.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 8.7% 8.7% 9.5% 8.8% 9.9% 10.5% 7.8% 5.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Marcos Darcy 10.8% 12.2% 10.0% 10.4% 9.8% 10.6% 10.1% 7.9% 6.3% 5.6% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Janel DeCurtis 4.9% 5.0% 4.8% 6.8% 7.0% 6.7% 8.9% 8.6% 10.7% 9.8% 11.8% 7.0% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathaniel Johansson 12.9% 12.9% 14.3% 12.3% 10.4% 7.7% 9.2% 5.9% 6.2% 3.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 8.5% 7.2% 6.5% 7.0% 8.6% 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 10.0% 8.2% 6.9% 6.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Morrison 3.5% 4.3% 4.4% 4.7% 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 9.1% 7.1% 11.1% 12.0% 11.5% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2%
William Manning 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 4.3% 5.9% 8.7% 11.6% 15.2% 15.4% 11.7% 7.6% 2.7%
Mara Terchunian 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 3.9% 6.1% 14.3% 22.5% 42.4%
James Paolino 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 8.1% 11.9% 20.6% 22.6% 16.0%
Claire Huebner 9.1% 9.0% 10.0% 9.5% 8.9% 8.8% 7.9% 8.2% 9.1% 7.8% 5.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Sarkar 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.9% 4.0% 4.0% 6.5% 10.3% 16.8% 18.7% 16.8% 11.4%
David Tampellini 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 3.7% 6.0% 11.3% 17.8% 23.9% 26.2%
Frederick Finkenauer 2.7% 2.1% 3.2% 2.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.7% 6.3% 5.7% 9.1% 12.7% 15.2% 14.7% 9.2% 3.8% 1.1%
Sophie Bermudez 8.9% 10.5% 10.4% 10.2% 11.3% 10.7% 7.7% 8.6% 7.8% 6.0% 4.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.