← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.74+4.04vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.87+2.79vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.86+4.77vs Predicted
-
42.75+1.22vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+1.67vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.58-0.26vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.28-0.45vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.69-2.77vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.41-2.94vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University-0.77+4.25vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-2.33vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.11-2.03vs Predicted
-
13McGill University-0.11+0.05vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.83-3.32vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.14-2.43vs Predicted
-
16Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.04Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
-
4.79Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.77Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.222.750.1%1st Place
-
6.67Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.74Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
-
6.55Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.23Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.06Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
-
14.25Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
9.97University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
13.05McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.68Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
12.57Boston University0.140.0%1st Place
-
13.73Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 21.7% | 42.9% |
| Joshua Morrison | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| James Paolino | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 15.8% |
| William Manning | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Sarkar | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 9.7% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 23.2% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.