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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.87+3.72vs Predicted
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22.75+3.06vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+2.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.74+1.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55+3.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+0.74vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+0.84vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.69-2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.11+0.98vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.41-3.86vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.77+3.14vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83-1.23vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.28-6.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.14-1.58vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.31vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.11-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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5.062.750.1%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.23Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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14.14Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.47Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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12.42Boston University0.140.0%1st Place
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13.69Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.11McGill University-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Johansson | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Morrison | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 12.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Claire Huebner | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 44.3% |
| William Manning | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sarkar | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 9.7% |
| David Tampellini | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 26.7% | 25.5% |
| James Paolino | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 23.5% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.