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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+1.42vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.12vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+0.51vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.29+0.98vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.84+0.63vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28-3.25vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.89-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
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3.12Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
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3.51Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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4.98Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.63Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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2.75Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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5.59University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 33.9% | 25.6% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Joel Florek | 18.5% | 19.0% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 12.9% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 22.5% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 23.9% | 26.6% | 18.1% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 17.5% | 26.9% | 37.4% |
| Libby Reeg | 24.5% | 24.5% | 21.7% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Slajus | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 27.1% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.