← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan Technological University-0.05+2.11vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University0.51+0.45vs Predicted
-
3Grand Valley State University-1.29+1.92vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-1.84+1.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Chicago-1.89+0.71vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.29-2.47vs Predicted
-
7Hope College0.28-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.11Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
-
2.45Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
-
4.92Grand Valley State University-1.290.1%1st Place
-
5.65Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
-
5.71University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
-
3.53Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
-
2.63Hope College0.280.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Florek | 20.2% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 21.9% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Greve | 29.2% | 29.8% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 24.6% | 25.2% | 17.6% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 16.1% | 26.8% | 38.1% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 17.3% | 26.4% | 39.6% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 13.3% | 14.9% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Libby Reeg | 26.9% | 25.1% | 21.0% | 16.1% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.