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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+7.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+3.42vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.60+8.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.00vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-0.52vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-2.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.53-2.59vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-2.63vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-3.78vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.47-2.29vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-4.12vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76+0.16vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.03-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.04-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.11Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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4.79Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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5.41Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.71Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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13.16University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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12.54Roger Williams University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 11.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Adler | 12.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 20.6% | 46.0% |
| Alexi Schwartzkopff | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 23.5% | 30.2% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.