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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University1.30+1.35vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.20+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.52+2.35vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-0.05vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.20-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.83-0.13vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99-1.02vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.94-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Texas A&M University1.3035.4%1st Place
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4.89Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.207.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Texas-0.524.6%1st Place
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3.95Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3013.0%1st Place
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4.74Texas A&M University-0.208.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Texas-0.834.0%1st Place
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5.98Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.993.2%1st Place
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2.86Rice University0.9424.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mather | 35.4% | 27.2% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Granberry | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 11.0% |
| Oliver Fenner | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| Nicholas Carew | 13.0% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Drew Gourley | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 9.7% |
| Mark Carella | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 28.5% |
| Jack Meyer | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 30.8% |
| Joe Slipper | 24.9% | 23.7% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.