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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.88vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+0.14vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+0.26vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.83+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.89+0.59vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.29-1.27vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.84-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
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2.14Western Michigan University0.510.4%1st Place
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3.26Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
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4.04Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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4.73Grand Valley State University-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.36Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Florek | 23.0% | 23.1% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Jack Greve | 38.9% | 29.7% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 15.8% | 18.5% | 23.3% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 6.7% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 39.9% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 21.4% | 21.7% | 16.9% |
| Elliott Klose | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 26.5% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.