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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.87vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+0.15vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+0.26vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.84+1.54vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.83-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.89-0.44vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.29-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
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2.15Western Michigan University0.510.4%1st Place
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3.26Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
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5.54Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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4.04Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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4.58Grand Valley State University-1.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Florek | 23.8% | 22.4% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Jack Greve | 39.1% | 29.4% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 16.8% | 18.1% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 25.5% | 36.5% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 7.3% |
| Alexander Slajus | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 23.8% | 38.3% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 23.9% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.