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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.05+2.15vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+0.40vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28-0.29vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.29-0.48vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.29-0.01vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.84-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.89-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
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2.4Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
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2.71Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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4.99Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.62Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Florek | 19.9% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Jack Greve | 31.0% | 28.8% | 20.2% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 24.5% | 24.1% | 23.4% | 16.3% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 14.6% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 22.3% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 22.4% | 26.4% | 18.9% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 26.3% | 37.1% |
| Alexander Slajus | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 26.2% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.