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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.05+2.16vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+0.39vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28-0.29vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.29+1.00vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.84+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.89-0.32vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.29-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
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2.39Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
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2.71Hope College0.280.3%1st Place
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5.0Grand Valley State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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5.66Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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3.4Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Florek | 19.5% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Greve | 31.3% | 27.5% | 21.9% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Libby Reeg | 25.2% | 24.1% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 23.0% | 27.1% | 18.3% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 16.0% | 27.3% | 38.5% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 17.0% | 26.8% | 38.5% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 15.9% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 23.2% | 16.5% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.