← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.90vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University0.51+0.20vs Predicted
-
3Western Michigan University-1.84+2.54vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University-1.29+0.80vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-0.83-0.90vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.29-2.71vs Predicted
-
7University of Chicago-1.66-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.9Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
-
2.2Western Michigan University0.510.4%1st Place
-
5.54Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
-
4.8Grand Valley State University-1.290.1%1st Place
-
4.1Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
-
3.29Northwestern University-0.290.2%1st Place
-
5.16University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Florek | 23.9% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Jack Greve | 36.8% | 30.3% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Klose | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 21.8% | 40.9% |
| Nicholaas Zomer | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 23.9% | 18.1% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 8.4% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 16.4% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Chuan Yin | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 25.4% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.