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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.88+0.81vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.16+1.00vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.58+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-2.22+1.77vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.58-0.07vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.19-2.91vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.42-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Western Michigan University0.880.5%1st Place
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3.0Michigan Technological University-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.58Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Chicago-2.220.0%1st Place
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4.93Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.09Northwestern University-0.190.2%1st Place
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5.82Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Chavez | 51.7% | 26.3% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nick Lane | 16.3% | 23.7% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Addison Amstutz | 9.6% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 25.7% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Zen | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 29.8% | 37.6% |
| John Stack | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 27.4% | 27.2% | 14.1% |
| Eleni Varelas | 15.8% | 23.2% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| James Hoover | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 25.1% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.