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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.58+2.61vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.16+1.10vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.88-1.16vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.19-0.82vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.58+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.66-0.80vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-2.42-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.1Michigan Technological University-0.160.2%1st Place
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1.84Western Michigan University0.880.5%1st Place
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3.18Northwestern University-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.13Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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5.94Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Amstutz | 11.4% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 2.8% |
| Nick Lane | 16.5% | 21.6% | 22.8% | 21.5% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Chavez | 48.6% | 29.4% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eleni Varelas | 15.0% | 20.7% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| John Stack | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 23.9% | 28.0% | 20.2% |
| Chuan Yin | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 28.6% | 22.2% |
| James Hoover | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.